Sassuolo vs Lazio

Sassuolo
w l d l l
2 - 6
0.82
xG
3.41
Full Time
Lazio
d w w w w
K. Thorstvedt
7'
S. Esposito
43'
K. Taylor
2'
G. Isaksen
13'
R. Floriani
16'
Mattia Zaccagni
45'+1'
T. Noslin
55'
T. Noslin
65'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Sassuolo Sassuolo
Lazio Lazio
Probability %
1 x 2
27%
27%
46%
Pred
2
Avg. Goal
2.97
Score Pred.
0-3
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Sassuolo Sassuolo
Lazio Lazio
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
43%
57%
Pred
Over
Avg. Goal
2.97
Score Pred.
0-3
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Sassuolo Sassuolo
Lazio Lazio
HТ/FT Probability %
27%
HT Pred.
2
FT Pred.
2
Score Pred.
0-3
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Sassuolo Sassuolo
Lazio Lazio
Probability %
Yes/ No
60%
41%
Pred
Yes
Avg. Goal
2.97
Score Pred.
0-3
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Sassuolo Sassuolo
Lazio Lazio
Probability %
53%
Pred
Away -0.25
Avg. Goal
2.97
Score Pred.
0-3

Winner : Lazio

Form and context

Sassuolo have lost their last two in all competitions, going down 2-0 at Como on 24 October and 4-2 at Frosinone on 16 October, though they did draw 1-1 with AC Milan before that. Lazio arrive in strong form, having won four of their last five in all competitions, including a 2-1 win over Parma and a 3-0 victory at Juventus.

Team news

  • Sassuolo: No confirmed team news yet.
  • Lazio: Rovella, Gudmundsson and Marusic are unavailable. Pinamonti should shake off a flu-like problem that hit him on Saturday morning. Cancellieri and Cataldi will be available, and Pedraza could start with Tavares looking tired late on against Parma.

What the numbers say

  • Lazio have scored 1.8 goals per game across their last 10 in all competitions, conceding 0.8.
  • Sassuolo average 1.6 goals for and 1.7 against over the same span.
  • Lazio have won five of the last eight head-to-head meetings, Sassuolo two, with one draw.
  • The prediction model gives the draw and the away win 45% each, with a home win at 10%.

Our view

Lazio's recent run and their edge in the head-to-head record make them the stronger side on paper, while Sassuolo's back-to-back defeats leave them searching for a response. Lazio's absences are a factor, but the visitors' scoring rate and defensive record still stand out.

Most likely outcome: away win - Lazio's four wins in five and superior head-to-head record point their way.

Sources: lazionews.eu
Last Updated: 25 Oct 2026 05:36 PM
starting lineups
 
S. Turati
 
J. Doig
 
D. Caleta-Car
 
C. Odenthal
 
S. Cinquegrano
 
D. Bakola
 
L. Lipani
6.44
 
K. Thorstvedt
 
A. Lauriente
7.7
 
S. Esposito
5.59
 
Domenico Berardi
 
C. Mandas
 
N. Tavares
 
D. Leite
 
J. Sutalo
7.41
 
R. Floriani
7.6
 
K. Taylor
 
R. Belahyane
 
D. Frattesi
9.53
 
Mattia Zaccagni
8.83
 
T. Noslin
8.59
 
G. Isaksen
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Sassuolo
I. Sulemana
' Out: D. Bakola
45
K. Bowie
63' Out: S. Esposito
63
F. Cande
63' Out: Domenico Berardi
63
A. Ghion
' Out: A. Lauriente
70
S. Walukiewicz
' Out: D. Caleta-Car
82
Substitutes for Lazio
F. Dele-Bashiru
45' Out: K. Taylor
45
M. Lazzari
62' Out: R. Floriani
62
A. Pedraza
' Out: N. Tavares
63
M. Cancellieri
63' Out: G. Isaksen
63
A. Pinamonti
71' Out: T. Noslin
71
statistics
42 Ball Possession 58
2 Goals 6
0.82 Expected Goals 3.41
match facts

REFEREE

L. Zufferli

STADIUM

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

LOCATION

Reggio Emilia

  • Sassuolo host Lazio in Serie A 2026-2027, kicking off at 17:30 GMT on 27 October 2026.
  • Lazio have dominated this fixture, winning seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings.
  • Sassuolo have won just two of those ten encounters, with one match ending in a draw.
  • The most recent meeting went Lazio's way, a 2-1 victory in March 2026.
  • Sassuolo arrive in poor form, taking just one point from their last five matches.
  • Lazio's recent run is mixed, with two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five.
  • Lazio edge the attacking stats, averaging 1.36 goals per game compared to Sassuolo's 1.21.
  • Lazio also hold a slight possession advantage, averaging 52.7% versus Sassuolo's 50.84%.
  • Prediction models heavily favour Lazio, giving them a 71.5% overall comparison score.
  • The Poisson distribution model is particularly one-sided, favouring Lazio at 86%.
  • Win probabilities are level between a draw and an away win at 45% each, with Sassuolo at just 10%.
  • The recommended bet is a Double Chance on Draw or Lazio, priced at 1.44 with Betano.
Last Updated: 25 Oct 2026 05:36 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
46 Corners 41
120 Fouls 132
10 Offsides 27
119 Shots 141
34 Shots on Goal 50
31 Yellow Cards 24
3 Red Cards 0
11 Goals 20
20 Goals Conceded 11
2 Clean Sheets 3
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#1
10
9
1
0
16
28
#15
9
2
2
5
-8
8
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

3.72
Pinnacle
3.70
Betano
2.18
Dafabet
100.22 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
3.72
3.58
2.08
97.19%
Betano Betano Logo
3.65
3.70
2.10
98.00%
Betfair Betfair Logo
3.60
3.50
2.00
94.03%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
3.58
3.64
2.16
98.33%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
3.48
3.54
2.10
95.60%

HIGHEST ODDS

3.96
Marathonbet
2.46
Pinnacle
2.67
Pinnacle
96.75 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
3.96
2.19
2.65
92.04%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
3.96
2.19
2.65
92.04%
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
3.95
2.46
2.67
96.69%
Betano Betano Logo
3.80
2.25
2.60
91.56%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
3.75
2.30
2.62
92.33%

HIGHEST ODDS

3.55
Betano
2.68
Marathonbet
2.50
William Hill
94.80 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Betano Betano Logo
3.55
2.60
2.32
91.13%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
3.46
2.68
2.35
91.94%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
3.46
2.68
2.35
91.94%
William Hill William Hill Logo
3.30
2.50
2.50
90.66%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
3.25
2.62
2.38
90.13%