Sassuolo vs Lazio
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sassuolo
Lazio
|
Probability %
1
x
2
27%
27%
46%
|
Pred
2
|
Avg. Goal
2.97
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sassuolo
Lazio
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
43%
57%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
2.97
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sassuolo
Lazio
|
HТ/FT Probability %
27%
|
HT Pred.
2
|
FT Pred.
2
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sassuolo
Lazio
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
60%
41%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.97
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sassuolo
Lazio
|
Probability %
53%
|
Pred
Away -0.25
|
Avg. Goal
2.97
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
Winner : Lazio
Form and context
Sassuolo have lost their last two in all competitions, going down 2-0 at Como on 24 October and 4-2 at Frosinone on 16 October, though they did draw 1-1 with AC Milan before that. Lazio arrive in strong form, having won four of their last five in all competitions, including a 2-1 win over Parma and a 3-0 victory at Juventus.
Team news
- Sassuolo: No confirmed team news yet.
- Lazio: Rovella, Gudmundsson and Marusic are unavailable. Pinamonti should shake off a flu-like problem that hit him on Saturday morning. Cancellieri and Cataldi will be available, and Pedraza could start with Tavares looking tired late on against Parma.
What the numbers say
- Lazio have scored 1.8 goals per game across their last 10 in all competitions, conceding 0.8.
- Sassuolo average 1.6 goals for and 1.7 against over the same span.
- Lazio have won five of the last eight head-to-head meetings, Sassuolo two, with one draw.
- The prediction model gives the draw and the away win 45% each, with a home win at 10%.
Our view
Lazio's recent run and their edge in the head-to-head record make them the stronger side on paper, while Sassuolo's back-to-back defeats leave them searching for a response. Lazio's absences are a factor, but the visitors' scoring rate and defensive record still stand out.
Most likely outcome: away win - Lazio's four wins in five and superior head-to-head record point their way.
Substitutes for Sassuolo
Substitutes for Lazio REFEREE
L. Zufferli
STADIUM
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
LOCATION
Reggio Emilia
- Sassuolo host Lazio in Serie A 2026-2027, kicking off at 17:30 GMT on 27 October 2026.
- Lazio have dominated this fixture, winning seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings.
- Sassuolo have won just two of those ten encounters, with one match ending in a draw.
- The most recent meeting went Lazio's way, a 2-1 victory in March 2026.
- Sassuolo arrive in poor form, taking just one point from their last five matches.
- Lazio's recent run is mixed, with two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five.
- Lazio edge the attacking stats, averaging 1.36 goals per game compared to Sassuolo's 1.21.
- Lazio also hold a slight possession advantage, averaging 52.7% versus Sassuolo's 50.84%.
- Prediction models heavily favour Lazio, giving them a 71.5% overall comparison score.
- The Poisson distribution model is particularly one-sided, favouring Lazio at 86%.
- Win probabilities are level between a draw and an away win at 45% each, with Sassuolo at just 10%.
- The recommended bet is a Double Chance on Draw or Lazio, priced at 1.44 with Betano.
Serie A 2026-2027
Lazio
Serie A 2025-2026
Sassuolo
Serie A 2025-2026
Lazio
Serie A 2023-2024
Sassuolo
Serie A 2023-2024
Lazio
Serie A 2022-2023
Sassuolo
Serie A 2022-2023
Lazio
Serie A 2021-2022
Sassuolo
Serie A 2021-2022
Lazio
Serie A 2020-2021
Lazio
Serie A 2020-2021
Sassuolo
Last matches for SAS
Serie A 2026-2027
Sassuolo
2
Lazio
6
Serie A 2026-2027
Sassuolo
0
Como
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Sassuolo
2
Frosinone
4
Serie A 2026-2027
Sassuolo
1
AC Milan
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Sassuolo
1
Monza
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Sassuolo
3
Juventus
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Sassuolo
2
Bologna
2
Coppa Italia 2026-2027
Sassuolo
1
Frosinone
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Sassuolo
2
Torino
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Sassuolo
1
Atalanta
2
Last matches for LAZ
Serie A 2026-2027
Lazio
2
Cagliari
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Lazio
6
Sassuolo
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Lazio
2
Parma
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Lazio
3
Juventus
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Lazio
3
Monza
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Lazio
2
Venezia
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Lazio
2
AC Milan
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Lazio
2
Udinese
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Lazio
1
Genoa
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Lazio
1
Bologna
0
