Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense

Vasco DA Gama
l l d w d
3 - 2
1.12
xG
0.73
Full Time
Fluminense
l d d w w
Nuno Moreira
59'
C. Spinelli
88'
Thiago Mendes
90'+5'
A. Canobbio
1'
Hércules
54'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or Fluminense

Looking at their recent matches, Vasco DA Gama and Fluminense are both struggling to find consistent wins. Vasco has drawn and lost a few of their last games, while Fluminense has also had a mix of results, including a recent loss. When these two teams meet, their games are often very close; they played to a draw just a couple of weeks ago, and many of their past meetings have been tight, low-scoring affairs.

Given that both sides are in similar, uneven form and their recent head-to-head match was a draw, this game looks like it could be another very close and cagey contest. A draw seems like a likely outcome.

Last Updated: 16 Mar 2026 07:33 PM
starting lineups
 
Leo Jardim
 
Cuiabano
 
Robert Renan
6.7
 
A. Saldivia
 
Paulo Henrique
 
Hugo Moura
7.3
 
Thiago Mendes
 
Tche Tche
7.7
 
Nuno Moreira
 
David
 
Fábio
 
Renê
 
Jemmes
 
Ignácio
 
Samuel Xavier
 
Matheus Martinelli
7.7
 
Hércules
 
J. Savarino
 
L. Acosta
7.2
 
A. Canobbio
 
John Kennedy
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Vasco DA Gama
' Out: Paulo Henrique
46
J. Rojas
' Out: Hugo Moura
46
Adson
' Out:
69
C. Spinelli
' Out: David
69
Brenner
80' Out: Nuno Moreira
80
Substitutes for Fluminense
Otavio
' Out: Matheus Martinelli
46
R. Castillo
' Out: John Kennedy
69
Ganso
' Out: L. Acosta
69
Guga
' Out: Samuel Xavier
80
K. Serna
' Out: J. Savarino
80
statistics
53 Ball Possession 47
3 Goals 2
1.12 Expected Goals 0.73
match facts

REFEREE

R. Claus

  • This is a Serie A 2026-2027 fixture between Vasco DA Gama and Fluminense.
  • The most recent head-to-head meeting ended in a 1-1 draw.
  • Fluminense won the previous encounter 1-0 away from home.
  • Vasco DA Gama is winless in their last five matches across all competitions.
  • Fluminense has only one win in their last five matches.
  • Both teams are averaging just over one goal per game this season.
  • Fluminense averages higher possession (55.35%) than Vasco DA Gama (50.43%).
  • Median statistics show Fluminense typically has more shots per game than Vasco.
  • Prediction models strongly favor a double chance: draw or Fluminense win.
  • The match is rated as a 45% chance for a draw, with 45% for an away win.
  • Form comparisons give Fluminense a significant 71% advantage over Vasco's 29%.
  • Despite recent form, head-to-head data gives Vasco DA Gama a 62% historical edge.
Last Updated: 16 Mar 2026 07:33 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
49 Corners 43
162 Fouls 146
14 Offsides 9
126 Shots 129
37 Shots on Goal 49
45 Yellow Cards 44
2 Red Cards 2
15 Goals 20
20 Goals Conceded 15
2 Clean Sheets 6
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#5
32
14
9
9
9
51
#11
32
10
9
13
-6
39