PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid

PSV Eindhoven
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Atletico Madrid
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Predictions
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Predictions

Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid

PSV Eindhoven are hosting Atletico Madrid in the Champions League. PSV have had a mixed run lately, with some strong wins but also a couple of heavy defeats, so their form is a bit unpredictable. Atletico Madrid, on the other hand, have been struggling more, picking up just one win in their last five matches and losing a few, which suggests they are not in the best shape right now.

When these two teams met recently, it was a high-scoring game that ended 2-3 to Atletico. Given that both teams have been involved in matches with plenty of goals recently, this could be an open contest. However, with Atletico’s poor form and PSV’s more erratic but occasionally brilliant results, the game looks very close, and it would not be a surprise to see it end in a draw.

Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM

WHO WILL WIN?

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WILL BOTH TEAMS SCORE?

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WHO WILL SCORE FIRST?

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match facts
  • PSV Eindhoven and Atletico Madrid meet in the UEFA Champions League 2026-2027, with their only recent head-to-head ending in a 2-3 away victory for Atletico in December 2025.
  • Atletico Madrid comes into this match with a 100% win rate in the last head-to-head fixture, giving them a strong psychological edge over PSV.
  • PSV Eindhoven's recent form is mixed, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, including a heavy 5-1 defeat and a dominant 6-1 away win.
  • Atletico Madrid's form has been inconsistent, with just 1 win in their last 5 games (1 draw, 3 losses), but they did secure a 3-1 away victory in their most recent outing.
  • PSV ranks as the more prolific attacking side, averaging 2.29 goals per game compared to Atletico's 1.53, and also leads with 18.14 shots per match versus 12.87.
  • PSV dominates possession with an average of 60.04%, far outpacing Atletico's 50.90%-a gap that could prove crucial in controlling the tempo at the Philips Stadion.
  • In median stats, PSV is expected to take 13 shots and enjoy 53% possession, while Atletico is projected for 15 shots and 47% possession, suggesting a tight contest.
  • Discipline may be a factor, with PSV averaging 4 yellow cards per game in recent matches, while Atletico averages just 3, leaving room for tactical fouls from the hosts.
  • The prediction model heavily favors a draw or Atletico Madrid win, with both outcomes sharing an equal 50% probability-suggesting PSV is unlikely to take all three points.
  • Head-to-head stats strongly favor the visitors, with Atletico holding an 85% advantage over PSV and a 75% edge in the goals category, pointing to their historical dominance.
  • PSV have shown attacking firepower lately, including a remarkable 6-1 away win in their last match, but their defensive frailty was exposed in a 5-1 home loss just a week earlier.
  • Atletico's away form is worrying, with 3 losses in their last 4 road games, though their 1-3 victory last month indicates they can bounce back when it matters most in European nights.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
9 Corners 5
11 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 3
13 Shots 15
3 Shots on Goal 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goals 3
3 Goals Conceded 2
0 Clean Sheets 0
uefa champions league standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#15
3
1
1
1
1
4
#16
3
1
1
1
0
4